Gajan Sivandran; Pierre Gentine; Rafael L. Bras
The most expansive drought in 50 years stretched across the Midwest in 2012. In light of predicted increases in the variability of climate, this type of event can no longer be considered extreme. Understanding the resilience of both managed and natural vegetation and how these systems may adapt to this new climate reality is critical in predicting changes to the global carbon, energy and water balance. An eco-hydrological model (tRIBS+VEGGIE) was employed to model the sensitivity of vegetation to varying drought intensities. Point scale simulations were carried out using two vertical root distribution schemes: (i) Static – a temporally invariant root distribution; and (ii) Dynamic – a temporally variable root carbon allocation scheme. A stochastic climate generator was used to create a series of synthetic climate realizations varying the drought characteristics – in particular the interstorm period. This change in the seasonal distribution of precipitation impacts the spatial (soil layers) and temporal distribution of soil moisture which directly impacts the water resource niche for vegetation. This change in resource niche is reflected in a shift in the optimal static rooting strategy further highlighting the need for the incorporation of a dynamic scheme that responds to local conditions.